G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13076
来源IDWorking Paper 13076
Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?
Fernando A. Broner; Guido Lorenzoni; Sergio L. Schmukler
发表日期2007-05-09
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要We argue that emerging economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium charged by bondholders on long-term debt. First, we present a model where the debt maturity structure is the outcome of a risk sharing problem between the government and bondholders. By issuing long-term debt, the government lowers the probability of a rollover crisis, transferring risk to bondholders. In equilibrium, this risk is reflected in a higher risk premium and borrowing cost. Therefore, the government faces a trade-off between safer long-term debt and cheaper short-term debt. Second, we construct a new database of sovereign bond prices and issuance. We show that emerging economies pay a positive term premium (a higher risk premium on long-term bonds than on short-term bonds). During crises, the term premium increases, with issuance shifting towards shorter maturities. The evidence suggests that international investors' time-varying risk aversion is crucial to understand the debt structure in emerging economies.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13076
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570744
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GB/T 7714
Fernando A. Broner,Guido Lorenzoni,Sergio L. Schmukler. Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?. 2007.
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