| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w13184 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 13184 |
| Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations | |
| Robert W. Fogel | |
| 发表日期 | 2007-06-14 |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | While the economies of the fifteen countries that were in the European Union (EU15) in 2000 will continue to grow from now until 2040, they will not be able to match the surges in growth that will occur in South and East Asia. In 2040, the Chinese economy will reach $123 trillion, or nearly three times the output of the entire globe in the year 2000, despite the influence of several potential political and economic constraints. India's economy will also continue to grow, although significant constraints (both political and economic) will keep it from reaching China's levels. The projected decline of the EU15's global share of GDP means that liberal Asian nations will be poised to take up the role of promoting liberal democracy across the globe. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; International Macroeconomics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w13184 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/570852 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Robert W. Fogel. Capitalism and Democracy in 2040: Forecasts and Speculations. 2007. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w13184.pdf（84KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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