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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13328
来源IDWorking Paper 13328
Explaining the Effects of Government Spending Shocks on Consumption and the Real Exchange Rate
Morten O. Ravn; Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé; Martín Uribe
发表日期2007-08-21
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要Using panel structural VAR analysis and quarterly data from four industrialized countries, we document that an increase in government purchases leads to an expansion in output and private consumption, a deterioration in the trade balance, and a depreciation of the real exchange rate (i.e., a decrease in the domestic CPI relative to the exchange-rate adjusted foreign CPI). We propose an explanation for these observed effects based on the deep habit mechanism. We estimate the key parameters of the deep-habit model employing a limited information approach. The predictions of the estimated deep-habit model fit well the observed responses of output, consumption, the trade balance, and the real exchange rate to an unanticipated government spending shock. In addition, the deep-habit model predicts that in response to an anticipated increase in government spending consumption and wages fail to increase on impact, which is consistent with the empirical evidence stemming from the narrative identification approach. In this way, the deep-habit model reconciles the findings of the SVAR and narrative literatures on the effects of government spending shocks.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13328
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571000
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Morten O. Ravn,Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé,Martín Uribe. Explaining the Effects of Government Spending Shocks on Consumption and the Real Exchange Rate. 2007.
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