G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13465
来源IDWorking Paper 13465
Trade Shocks and Labor Adjustment: A Structural Empirical Approach
Erhan Artuc; Shubham Chaudhuri; John McLaren
发表日期2007-10-04
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要The welfare effects of trade shocks depend crucially on the nature and magnitude of the costs workers face in moving between sectors. The existing trade literature does not directly address this, assuming perfect mobility or complete immobility, or adopting reduced-form approaches to estimation. We present a model of dynamic labor adjustment that does, and which is, moreover, consistent with a key empirical fact: that intersectoral gross flows greatly exceed net flows. Using an Euler-type equilibrium condition, we estimate the mean and the variance of workers' switching costs from the U.S. March Current Population Surveys. We estimate high values of both parameters, implying both slow adjustment of the economy, and sharp movements in wages, in response to a trade shock. Simulations of a trade liberalization indicate that despite the high estimated adjustment cost, in terms of lifetime welfare, the liberalization is Pareto-improving. The explanation for this surprising finding -- which would be missed by a reduced-form approach -- is that the high variance to costs ensures high rates of gross flow; this helps spread the liberalization's benefits around.
主题International Economics ; Trade ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13465
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571139
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GB/T 7714
Erhan Artuc,Shubham Chaudhuri,John McLaren. Trade Shocks and Labor Adjustment: A Structural Empirical Approach. 2007.
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