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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w13499 |
来源ID | Working Paper 13499 |
Unmeasured Investment and the Puzzling U.S. Boom in the 1990s | |
Ellen R. McGrattan; Edward C. Prescott | |
发表日期 | 2007-10-15 |
出版年 | 2007 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The basic neoclassical growth model accounts well for the postwar cyclical behavior of the U.S. economy prior to the 1990s, provided that variations in population growth, depreciation rates, total factor productivity, and taxes are incorporated. For the 1990s, the model predicts a depressed economy, when in fact the U.S. economy boomed. We extend the base model by introducing intangible investment and non-neutral technology change with respect to producing intangible investment goods and find that the 1990s are not puzzling in light of this new theory. There is compelling micro and macro evidence for our extension, and the predictions of the theory are in conformity with U.S. national products, incomes, and capital gains. We use the theory to compare current accounting measures for labor productivity and investment with the corresponding measures for the model economy with intangible investment. Our findings show that standard accounting measures greatly understate the boom in productivity and investment. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w13499 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571175 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ellen R. McGrattan,Edward C. Prescott. Unmeasured Investment and the Puzzling U.S. Boom in the 1990s. 2007. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w13499.pdf(292KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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