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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13499
来源IDWorking Paper 13499
Unmeasured Investment and the Puzzling U.S. Boom in the 1990s
Ellen R. McGrattan; Edward C. Prescott
发表日期2007-10-15
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要The basic neoclassical growth model accounts well for the postwar cyclical behavior of the U.S. economy prior to the 1990s, provided that variations in population growth, depreciation rates, total factor productivity, and taxes are incorporated. For the 1990s, the model predicts a depressed economy, when in fact the U.S. economy boomed. We extend the base model by introducing intangible investment and non-neutral technology change with respect to producing intangible investment goods and find that the 1990s are not puzzling in light of this new theory. There is compelling micro and macro evidence for our extension, and the predictions of the theory are in conformity with U.S. national products, incomes, and capital gains. We use the theory to compare current accounting measures for labor productivity and investment with the corresponding measures for the model economy with intangible investment. Our findings show that standard accounting measures greatly understate the boom in productivity and investment.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13499
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571175
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Ellen R. McGrattan,Edward C. Prescott. Unmeasured Investment and the Puzzling U.S. Boom in the 1990s. 2007.
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