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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13504
来源IDWorking Paper 13504
Advisors and Asset Prices: A Model of the Origins of Bubbles
Harrison Hong; Jose A. Scheinkman; Wei Xiong
发表日期2007-10-15
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要We develop a model of asset price bubbles based on the communication process between advisors and investors. Advisors are well-intentioned and want to maximize the welfare of their advisees (like a parent treats a child). But only some advisors understand the new technology (the tech-savvies); others do not and can only make a downward-biased recommendation (the old-fogies). While smart investors recognize the heterogeneity in advisors, naive ones mistakenly take whatever is said at face value. Tech-savvies inflate their forecasts to signal that they are not old-fogies, since more accurate information about their type improves the welfare of investors in the future. A bubble arises for a wide range of parameters, and its size is maximized when there is a mix of smart and naive investors in the economy. Our model suggests an alternative source for stock over-valuation in addition to investor overreaction to news and sell-side bias.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13504
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571180
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Harrison Hong,Jose A. Scheinkman,Wei Xiong. Advisors and Asset Prices: A Model of the Origins of Bubbles. 2007.
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