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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13570
来源IDWorking Paper 13570
Corporate Financial Policies With Overconfident Managers
Ulrike Malmendier; Geoffrey Tate; Jonathan Yan
发表日期2007-11-02
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要Many financing choices of US corporations remain puzzling even after accounting for standard determinants such as taxes, bankruptcy costs, and asymmetric information. We propose that managerial beliefs help to explain the remaining variation across and within firms, including variation in debt conservatism and in pecking-order behavior. Managers who believe that their company is undervalued view external financing as overpriced, especially equity financing. As a result, they display pecking-order preferences for internal financing over debt and for debt over equity. They may also exhibit debt conservatism: While they prefer debt to equity, they still underutilize debt relative to its tax benefits. We test these hypotheses empirically, using late option exercise by the CEO as a measure of overconfidence. We find that, conditional on accessing public markets, CEOs who personally overinvest in their companies are significantly less likely to issue equity. They raise 33 cents more debt to cover an additional dollar of financing deficit than their peers. Moreover, the frequency with which they access any external finance (debt or equity) is significantly lower, resulting in debt conservatism. The results replicate when identifying managerial overconfidence based on press portrayal as confident or optimistic. We conclude that managerial overconfidence helps to explain variation in corporate financial policies.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; General Equilibrium ; Economics of Information ; Behavioral Economics ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Financial Economics ; Corporate Finance ; Public Economics ; Public Goods
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13570
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571245
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Ulrike Malmendier,Geoffrey Tate,Jonathan Yan. Corporate Financial Policies With Overconfident Managers. 2007.
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