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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13607
来源IDWorking Paper 13607
New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability
Dale F. Gray; Robert C. Merton; Zvi Bodie
发表日期2007-11-26
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of individual banks by managers, investors, and regulators. The basic analytical tool is the risk-adjusted balance sheet, which shows the sensitivity of the enterprise's assets and liabilities to external "shocks." At the national level, the sectors of an economy are viewed as interconnected portfolios of assets, liabilities, and guarantees -- some explicit and others implicit. Traditional approaches have difficulty analyzing how risks can accumulate gradually and then suddenly erupt in a full-blown crisis. The CCA approach is well-suited to capturing such "non-linearities" and to quantifying the effects of asset-liability mismatches within and across institutions. Risk-adjusted CCA balance sheets facilitate simulations and stress testing to evaluate the potential impact of policies to manage systemic risk.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13607
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571290
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Dale F. Gray,Robert C. Merton,Zvi Bodie. New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability. 2007.
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