G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13694
来源IDWorking Paper 13694
The Reaction of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates -- Evidence from Consumer Credit Data
Sumit Agarwal; Chunlin Liu; Nicholas S. Souleles
发表日期2007-12-20
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要We use a new panel dataset of credit card accounts to analyze how consumers responded to the 2001 Federal income tax rebates. We estimate the monthly response of credit card payments, spending, and debt, exploiting the unique, randomized timing of the rebate disbursement. We find that, on average, consumers initially saved some of the rebate, by increasing their credit card payments and thereby paying down debt. But soon afterwards their spending increased, counter to the canonical Permanent-Income model. Spending rose most for consumers who were initially most likely to be liquidity constrained, whereas debt declined most (so saving rose most) for unconstrained consumers. More generally, the results suggest that there can be important dynamics in consumers' response to "lumpy" increases in income like tax rebates, working in part through balance sheet (liquidity) mechanisms.
主题Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions ; Public Economics ; Taxation
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13694
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571370
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Sumit Agarwal,Chunlin Liu,Nicholas S. Souleles. The Reaction of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates -- Evidence from Consumer Credit Data. 2007.
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