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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13700
来源IDWorking Paper 13700
Do Financial Incentives Affect Fertility?
Alma Cohen; Rajeev Dehejia; Dmitri Romanov
发表日期2007-12-28
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要This paper investigates how fertility responds to changes in the price of a marginal child and in household income. We construct a large, individual-level panel data set of married Israeli women during the period 1999-2005 that contains fertility histories and detailed controls. We exploit variation in Israel's child subsidy program to identify changes in the price of a marginal child (using changes in the subsidy for a marginal child) and to instrument for household income (using changes in the subsidy for infra-marginal children). We find a significant and positive price effect on fertility: the mean level of marginal child subsidy produces a 7.8 percent increase in fertility. There is a positive effect within all religious and ethnic subgroups, including the ultra-Orthodox Jewish population, whose social and religious norms discourage family planning. There is also a significant price effect on fertility among women who are close to the end of their lifetime fertility, suggesting that at least part of the price effect is due to a reduction in total fertility. As expected, the child subsidy has no effect in the upper range of the income distribution. Finally, consistent with the predictions of Becker (1960) and Becker and Tomes (1976), we find that the income effect is small in magnitude and is negative at low income levels and positive at high levels.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Other ; Law and Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13700
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571376
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Alma Cohen,Rajeev Dehejia,Dmitri Romanov. Do Financial Incentives Affect Fertility?. 2007.
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