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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13733
来源IDWorking Paper 13733
Federal Institutions and the Democratic Transition: Learning from South Africa
Robert P. Inman; Daniel L. Rubinfeld
发表日期2008-01-22
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We present a model of a peaceful transition from autocracy to democracy using federal governance as a constitutional means to protect the economic interests of the once ruling elite. Under "democratic federalism" the constitution creates an annual policy game where the new majority and the elite each control one policy instrument of importance to the other. The game has a stable, stationary equilibrium that the elite may prefer to autocratic rule. We apply our analysis to South Africa's transition from white, elite rule under apartheid to a multi-racial democracy. We calibrate our model to the South African economy at the time of the transition. Stable democratic equilibria exist for plausible estimates of redistributive preferences and rate of time preference ('impatience') of the new majority during the early years of the new democracy. The future of the democratic federal bargain is less certain under the new populist presidency of Jacob Zuma.
主题Public Economics ; Subnational Fiscal Issues ; Other ; Economic Systems
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13733
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571408
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GB/T 7714
Robert P. Inman,Daniel L. Rubinfeld. Federal Institutions and the Democratic Transition: Learning from South Africa. 2008.
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