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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13861
来源IDWorking Paper 13861
A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories
Enrique G. Mendoza; Vivian Z. Yue
发表日期2008-03-12
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We propose a model that solves the crucial disconnect between business cycle models that treat default risk as an exogenous interest rate on working capital, and sovereign default models that treat output fluctuations as an exogenous process with ad-hoc default costs. The model explains observed output dynamics around defaults, countercyclical spreads, high debt ratios, and key business cycle moments. Three features of the model are central for these results: working capital loans pay for imported inputs; default triggers an efficiency loss as imported inputs are replaced by imperfect domestic substitutes; and default on public and private foreign obligations occurs simultaneously.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13861
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571535
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GB/T 7714
Enrique G. Mendoza,Vivian Z. Yue. A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories. 2008.
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