G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13896
来源IDWorking Paper 13896
The Wealth-Consumption Ratio
Hanno Lustig; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh; Adrien Verdelhan
发表日期2008-03-20
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We set up an exponentially affine stochastic discount factor model for bond yields and stock returns in order to estimate the prices of aggregate risk. We use the estimated risk prices to compute the no-arbitrage price of a claim to aggregate consumption. The price-dividend ratio of this claim is the wealth-consumption ratio. Our estimates indicate that total wealth is much safer than stock market wealth. The consumption risk premium is only 2.2 percent, substantially below the equity risk premium of 6.9 percent. As a result, the average US household has more wealth than one might think; most of it is human wealth. A large fraction of the variation in total wealth can be traced back to changes in long-term real interest rates. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we find that events in bond markets, not stock markets, matter most for understanding fluctuations in total wealth.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13896
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571570
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GB/T 7714
Hanno Lustig,Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh,Adrien Verdelhan. The Wealth-Consumption Ratio. 2008.
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