| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w13915 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 13915 |
| A Theory of Military Dictatorships | |
| Daron Acemoglu; Davide Ticchi; Andrea Vindigni | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-04-03 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We investigate how nondemocratic regimes use the military and how this can lead to the emergence of military dictatorships. Nondemocratic regimes need the use of force in order to remain in power, but this creates a political moral hazard problem; a strong military may not simply work as an agent of the elite but may turn against them in order to create a regime more in line with their own objectives. The political moral hazard problem increases the cost of using repression in nondemocratic regimes and in particular, necessitates high wages and policy concessions to the military. When these concessions are not sufficient, the military can take action against a nondemocratic regime in order to create its own dictatorship. A more important consequence of the presence of a strong military is that once transition to democracy takes place, the military poses a coup threat against the nascent democratic regime until it is reformed. The anticipation that the military will be reformed in the future acts as an additional motivation for the military to undertake coups against democratic governments. We show that greater inequality makes the use of the military in nondemocratic regimes more likely and also makes it more difficult for democracies to prevent military coups. In addition, greater inequality also makes it more likely that nondemocratic regimes are unable to solve the political moral hazard problem and thus creates another channel for the emergence of military dictatorships. We also show that greater natural resource rents make military coups against democracies more likely, but have ambiguous effects on the political equilibrium in nondemocracies (because with abundant natural resources, repression becomes more valuable to the elite, but also more expensive to maintain because of the more severe political moral hazard that natural resources induce). Finally, we discuss how the national defense role of the military interacts with its involvement in domestic politics. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; Taxation ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Other History ; Other ; Economic Systems |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w13915 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571589 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Daron Acemoglu,Davide Ticchi,Andrea Vindigni. A Theory of Military Dictatorships. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w13915.pdf（370KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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