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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w13992
来源IDWorking Paper 13992
Superpower Interventions and their Consequences for Democracy: An Empirical Inquiry
William Easterly; Shanker Satyanath; Daniel Berger
发表日期2008-05-15
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要Do superpower interventions to install and prop up political leaders in other countries subsequently result in more or less democracy, and does this effect vary depending on whether the intervening superpower is democratic or authoritarian? While democracy may be expected to decline contemporaneously with superpower interference, the effect on democracy after a few years is far from obvious. The absence of reliable information on covert interventions has hitherto served as an obstacle to seriously addressing these questions. The recent declassification of Cold War CIA and KGB documents now makes it possible to systematically address these questions in the Cold War context. We thus develop a new panel dataset of superpower interventions during the Cold War. We find that superpower interventions are followed by significant declines in democracy, and that the substantive effects are large. Perhaps surprisingly, once endogeneity is addressed, US and Soviet interventions have equally detrimental effects on the subsequent level of democracy; both decrease democracy by about 33%. Our findings thus suggest that one should not expect significant differences in the adverse institutional consequences of superpower interventions based on whether the intervening superpower is a democracy or a dictatorship.
主题Development and Growth ; Development
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w13992
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571667
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William Easterly,Shanker Satyanath,Daniel Berger. Superpower Interventions and their Consequences for Democracy: An Empirical Inquiry. 2008.
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