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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14026
来源IDWorking Paper 14026
Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance Of Balance-Sheet Effects And Financial Integration
Guillermo A. Calvo; Alejandro Izquierdo; Luis-Fernando Mejía
发表日期2008-05-23
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004 we analyze the empirical characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows --understood as large and largely unexpected capital account contractions that occur in periods of systemic turmoil -- and the relevance of balance sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. We conjecture that large real exchange rate (RER) fluctuations come hand in hand with 3S. A small supply of tradable goods relative to their domestic absorption -- a proxy for potential changes in the real exchange rate -- and large foreign-exchange denominated debts towards the domestic banking system, denoted Domestic Liability Dollarization, DLD, are claimed to be key determinants of the probability of 3S, conforming a balance-sheet effect that impacts on the probability of 3S in non-linear fashion. Regarding financial integration, the larger is the latter, the larger is likely to be the probability of Sudden Stop; however, beyond a critical point the relationship gets a sign reversion.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14026
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571700
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Guillermo A. Calvo,Alejandro Izquierdo,Luis-Fernando Mejía. Systemic Sudden Stops: The Relevance Of Balance-Sheet Effects And Financial Integration. 2008.
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