| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w14033 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 14033 |
| When Does Policy Reform Work? The Case of Central Bank Independence | |
| Daron Acemoglu; Simon Johnson; Pablo Querubin; James A. Robinson | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-05-30 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We argue that the question of whether and when policy reform works should be investigated together with the political economy factors responsible for distortionary policies in the first place. These not only determine the initial distortions, but also often shape policy in the post-reform environment. Distortionary policies are more likely to be adopted when politicians are unconstrained and unaccountable to citizens. This reasoning implies that policy reform should have modest effects in societies where the political system already places constraints on politicians. It also implies, however, that in societies with weak political constraints, which are often those adopting the most distortionary policies, policy reforms may be ineffective because the underlying political economy problems are not typically altered by these reforms. Policy reform should therefore have its largest effect in societies with intermediate levels of constraints. In addition, when policy reform is (partly) effective, it may lead to a deterioration in other (unreformed) components of policy in order to satisfy the underlying demands on politicians - a phenomenon we call the seesaw effect. We provide reduced-form evidence consistent with these ideas by looking at the effect of central bank independence on inflation. The evidence is consistent with the notion that central bank reforms have reduced inflation in societies with intermediate constraints and have had no or little effects in countries with the high and low levels of constraints. We also present some evidence suggesting that, consistent with the seesaw effect, in countries where central bank reforms reduce inflation, government expenditure tends to increase. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Other ; Economic Systems |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14033 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571708 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Daron Acemoglu,Simon Johnson,Pablo Querubin,et al. When Does Policy Reform Work? The Case of Central Bank Independence. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w14033.pdf（531KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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