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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w14049 |
来源ID | Working Paper 14049 |
An Anatomy Of Credit Booms: Evidence From Macro Aggregates And Micro Data | |
Enrique G. Mendoza; Marco E. Terrones | |
发表日期 | 2008-05-30 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper proposes a methodology for measuring credit booms and uses it to identify credit booms in emerging and industrial economies over the past four decades. In addition, we use event study methods to identify the key empirical regularities of credit booms in macroeconomic aggregates and micro-level data. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations, widening external deficits and managed exchange rates. Micro data show a strong association between credit booms and firm-level measures of leverage, firm values, and external financing, and bank-level indicators of banking fragility. Credit booms in industrial and emerging economies show three major differences: (1) credit booms and the macro and micro fluctuations associated with them are larger in emerging economies, particularly in the nontradables sector; (2) not all credit booms end in financial crises, but most emerging markets crises were associated with credit booms; and (3) credit booms in emerging economies are often preceded by large capital inflows but not by financial reforms or productivity gains. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14049 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571723 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Enrique G. Mendoza,Marco E. Terrones. An Anatomy Of Credit Booms: Evidence From Macro Aggregates And Micro Data. 2008. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w14049.pdf(397KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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