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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w14114 |
来源ID | Working Paper 14114 |
Will the Stork Return to Europe and Japan? Understanding Fertility Within Developed Nations | |
Bruce Sacerdote; James Feyrer | |
发表日期 | 2008-06-20 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Only a few rich nations are currently at replacement levels of fertility and many are considerably below. We believe that changes in the status of women are driving fertility change. At low levels of female status, women specialize in household production and fertility is high. In an intermediate phase, women have increasing opportunities to earn a living outside the home yet still shoulder the bulk of household production. Fertility is at a minimum in this regime due to the increased opportunity cost in women's foregone wages with no decrease in time allocated to childcare. We see the lowest fertility nations (Japan, Spain, Italy) as being in this regime. At even higher levels of women's status, men begin to share in the burden of child care at home and fertility is higher than in the middle regime. This progression has been observed in the US, Sweden and other countries. Using ISSP and World Values Survey data we show that countries in which men perform relatively more of the childcare and household production (and where female labor force participation was highest 30 years ago) have the highest fertility within the rich country sample. Fertility and women's labor force participation have become positively correlated across high income countries. The trend in men's household work suggests that the low fertility countries may see increases in fertility as women's household status catches up to their workforce opportunities. |
主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14114 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571790 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bruce Sacerdote,James Feyrer. Will the Stork Return to Europe and Japan? Understanding Fertility Within Developed Nations. 2008. |
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w14114.pdf(290KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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