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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14132
来源IDWorking Paper 14132
Climate Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century
Melissa Dell; Benjamin F. Jones; Benjamin A. Olken
发表日期2008-06-27
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要This paper uses annual variation in temperature and precipitation over the past 50 years to examine the impact of climatic changes on economic activity throughout the world. We find three primary results. First, higher temperatures substantially reduce economic growth in poor countries but have little effect in rich countries. Second, higher temperatures appear to reduce growth rates in poor countries, rather than just the level of output. Third, higher temperatures have wide-ranging effects in poor nations, reducing agricultural output, industrial output, and aggregate investment, and increasing political instability. Analysis of decade or longer climate shifts also shows substantial negative effects on growth in poor countries. Should future impacts of climate change mirror these historical effects, the negative impact on poor countries may be substantial.
主题Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14132
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571807
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GB/T 7714
Melissa Dell,Benjamin F. Jones,Benjamin A. Olken. Climate Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century. 2008.
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