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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w14132 |
来源ID | Working Paper 14132 |
Climate Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century | |
Melissa Dell; Benjamin F. Jones; Benjamin A. Olken | |
发表日期 | 2008-06-27 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper uses annual variation in temperature and precipitation over the past 50 years to examine the impact of climatic changes on economic activity throughout the world. We find three primary results. First, higher temperatures substantially reduce economic growth in poor countries but have little effect in rich countries. Second, higher temperatures appear to reduce growth rates in poor countries, rather than just the level of output. Third, higher temperatures have wide-ranging effects in poor nations, reducing agricultural output, industrial output, and aggregate investment, and increasing political instability. Analysis of decade or longer climate shifts also shows substantial negative effects on growth in poor countries. Should future impacts of climate change mirror these historical effects, the negative impact on poor countries may be substantial. |
主题 | Development and Growth ; Development ; Growth and Productivity ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14132 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571807 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Melissa Dell,Benjamin F. Jones,Benjamin A. Olken. Climate Change and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century. 2008. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w14132.pdf(313KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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