| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w14221 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 14221 |
| What's a Recession, Anyway? | |
| Edward E. Leamer | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-08-14 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Monthly US data on payroll employment, civilian employment, industrial production and the unemployment rate are used to define a recession-dating algorithm that nearly perfectly reproduces the NBER official peak and trough dates. The only substantial point of disagreement is with respect to the NBER November 1973 peak. The algorithm prefers September 1974. In addition, this algorithm indicates that the data through June 2008 do not yet exceed the recession threshold, and will do so only if things get much worse. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14221 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571895 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Edward E. Leamer. What's a Recession, Anyway?. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w14221.pdf（195KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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