| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w14248 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 14248 |
| HIV and Fertility in Africa: First Evidence from Population Based Surveys | |
| Chinhui Juhn; Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan; Belgi Turan | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-08-15 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The historical pattern of the demographic transition suggests that fertility declines follow mortality declines, followed by a rise in human capital accumulation and economic growth. The HIV/AIDS epidemic threatens to reverse this path. A recent paper by Young (2005), however, suggests that similar to the "Black Death" episode in Europe, HIV/AIDS will actually lead to higher growth per capita among the affected African countries. Not only will population decline, behavioral responses in fertility will reinforce this decline by reducing the willingness to engage in unprotected sex. We utilize recent rounds of the Demographic and Health Surveys which link an individual woman's fertility outcomes to her HIV status based on testing. The data allows us to distinguish the effect of own positive HIV status on fertility (which may be due to lower fecundity and other physiological reasons) from the behavioral response to higher mortality risk, as measured by the local community HIV prevalence. We show that HIV-infected women have significantly lower fertility. In contrast to Young (2005), however, we find that local community HIV prevalence has no significant effect on non-infected women's fertility. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14248 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571922 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chinhui Juhn,Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan,Belgi Turan. HIV and Fertility in Africa: First Evidence from Population Based Surveys. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w14248.pdf（218KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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