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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14270
来源IDWorking Paper 14270
Individual Laboratory-Measured Discount Rates Predict Field Behavior
Christopher F. Chabris; David Laibson; Carrie L. Morris; Jonathon P. Schuldt; Dmitry Taubinsky
发表日期2008-08-21
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We estimate discount rates of 555 subjects using a laboratory task and find that these individual discount rates predict inter-individual variation in field behaviors (e.g., exercise, BMI, smoking). The correlation between the discount rate and each field behavior is small: none exceeds 0.28 and many are near 0. However, the discount rate has at least as much predictive power as any variable in our dataset (e.g., sex, age, education). The correlation between the discount rate and field behavior rises when field behaviors are aggregated: these correlations range from 0.09-0.38. We present a model that explains why specific intertemporal choice behaviors are only weakly correlated with discount rates, even though discount rates robustly predict aggregates of intertemporal decisions.
主题Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Behavioral Economics ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14270
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/571942
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Christopher F. Chabris,David Laibson,Carrie L. Morris,et al. Individual Laboratory-Measured Discount Rates Predict Field Behavior. 2008.
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