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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14449
来源IDWorking Paper 14449
When Does Improving Health Raise GDP?
Quamrul H. Ashraf; Ashley Lester; David N. Weil
发表日期2008-10-30
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous health improvements on output per capita. Our simulation model allows for a direct effect of health on worker productivity, as well as indirect effects that run through schooling, the size and age-structure of the population, capital accumulation, and crowding of fixed natural resources. The model is parameterized using a combination of microeconomic estimates, data on demographics, disease burdens, and natural resource income in developing countries, and standard components of quantitative macroeconomic theory. We consider both changes in general health, proxied by improvements in life expectancy, and changes in the prevalence of two particular diseases: malaria and tuberculosis. We find that the effects of health improvements on income per capita are substantially lower than those that are often quoted by policy-makers, and may not emerge at all for three decades or more after the initial improvement in health. The results suggest that proponents of efforts to improve health in developing countries should rely on humanitarian rather than economic arguments.
主题Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14449
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572124
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Quamrul H. Ashraf,Ashley Lester,David N. Weil. When Does Improving Health Raise GDP?. 2008.
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