| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w14497 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 14497 |
| China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries | |
| Gordon H. Hanson; Raymond Robertson | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-11-20 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In this paper, we examine the impact of China's growth on developing countries that specialize in manufacturing. Over 2000-2005, manufacturing accounted for 32% of China's GDP and 89% of its merchandise exports, making it more specialized in the sector than any other large developing economy. Using the gravity model of trade, we decompose bilateral trade into components associated with demand conditions in importing countries, supply conditions in exporting countries, and bilateral trade costs. We identify 10 developing economies for which manufacturing represents more than 75% of merchandise exports (Hungary, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, the Philippines, Poland, Romania, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Turkey), which are in theory the countries most exposed to the adverse consequences of China's export growth. Our results suggest that had China's export supply capacity been constant over the 1995-2005 period, demand for exports would have been 0.8% to 1.6% higher in the 10 countries studied. Thus, even for the developing countries most specialized in export manufacturing, China's expansion has represented only a modest negative shock. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; Trade |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14497 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572172 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gordon H. Hanson,Raymond Robertson. China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w14497.pdf（1697KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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