| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w14498 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 14498 |
| The Future of American Fertility | |
| Samuel H. Preston; Caroline Sten Hartnett | |
| 发表日期 | 2008-11-20 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper reviews the major social and demographic forces influencing American fertility levels with the aim of predicting changes during the next three decades. Increases in the Hispanic population and in educational attainment are expected to have modest and offsetting effects on fertility levels. A cessation of the recent pattern of increasing ages at childbearing will at some point put upward pressure on period (but not cohort) fertility rates. Higher relative wages for women and better contraception have empowered women and fundamentally altered marriage and relations between the sexes. But women's childbearing has become less dependent upon stable relations with men, and educational differences in intended fertility have narrowed. One explanation of higher fertility in the U.S. than in other developed countries is that its institutions have adapted better to rising relative wages for women and the attendant increase in women's labor force participation. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w14498 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572173 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Samuel H. Preston,Caroline Sten Hartnett. The Future of American Fertility. 2008. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w14498.pdf（119KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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