G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14523
来源IDWorking Paper 14523
An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal
Dimitri Vayanos; Paul Woolley
发表日期2008-12-05
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要We propose a rational theory of momentum and reversal based on delegated portfolio management. An investor can hold assets through an index or an active fund. Investing in the active fund involves a time-varying cost, interpreted as managerial perk or ability. The investor responds to an increase in the cost by flowing out of the active and into the index fund. While prices of assets held by the active fund drop in anticipation of these outflows, the drop is expected to continue, leading to momentum. Because outflows push prices below fundamental values, expected returns eventually rise, leading to reversal. Besides momentum and reversal, fund flows generate comovement, lead-lag effects and amplification, with all effects being larger for assets with high idiosyncratic risk. The active-fund manager's concern with commercial risk makes prices more volatile.
主题Microeconomics ; General Equilibrium ; Economics of Information ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14523
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572198
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GB/T 7714
Dimitri Vayanos,Paul Woolley. An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal. 2008.
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