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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14547
来源IDWorking Paper 14547
Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?
Alejandro Justiniano; Bruce Preston
发表日期2008-12-11
出版年2008
语种英语
摘要This paper demonstrates that an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy cannot account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The benchmark model assumes uncorrelated shocks across countries and implies that U.S. shocks account for less than 3 percent of the variability observed in several Canadian series, at all forecast horizons. Accordingly, model-implied cross-correlation functions between Canada and U.S. are essentially zero. Both findings are at odds with the data. A specification that assumes correlated cross-country shocks partially resolves this discrepancy, but still falls well short of matching reduced-form evidence.
主题International Economics ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14547
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572222
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Alejandro Justiniano,Bruce Preston. Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?. 2008.
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