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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w14814
来源IDWorking Paper 14814
Learning and Asset-Price Jumps
Ravi Bansal; Ivan Shaliastovich
发表日期2009-03-25
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要We develop a general equilibrium model in which income and dividends are smooth, but asset prices are subject to large moves (jumps). A prominent feature of the model is that the optimal decision of investors to learn the unobserved state triggers large asset-price jumps. We show that the learning choice is critically determined by preference parameters and the conditional volatility of income process. An important prediction of the model is that income volatility predicts future jumps, while the variation in the level of income does not. We find that indeed in the data large moves in returns are predicted by consumption volatility, but not by the changes in the consumption level. We show that the model can quantitatively capture these novel features of the data.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w14814
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572490
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GB/T 7714
Ravi Bansal,Ivan Shaliastovich. Learning and Asset-Price Jumps. 2009.
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