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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15110
来源IDWorking Paper 15110
Risk Allocation, Debt Fueled Expansion and Financial Crisis
Paul Beaudry; Amartya Lahiri
发表日期2009-06-25
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要In this paper we discuss how several macroeconomic features of the 2001-2009 period may have resulted from a process in which financial markets were trying to allocate risk between heterogeneous agents when productive investment opportunities are scarce. We begin by showing how heterogeneity in terms of risk tolerance can cause financial markets to propagate transitory shocks and induce higher output volatility, albeit with a higher mean. We then show how this simple heterogeneous agent framework can explain an expansion driven by the growth in consumer debt, and why the equilibrium path of such an economy is likely fragile. In particular, we demonstrate that the emergence of a small amount of asymmetric information can make the economy susceptible to changes in expectations that can induce large reversals of financial flows, the freezing of assets and a recession that can persist despite high productivity.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15110
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572785
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GB/T 7714
Paul Beaudry,Amartya Lahiri. Risk Allocation, Debt Fueled Expansion and Financial Crisis. 2009.
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