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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15119
来源IDWorking Paper 15119
Credit Constraints, Cyclical Fiscal Policy and Industry Growth
Philippe Aghion; David Hemous; Enisse Kharroubi
发表日期2009-06-30
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要This paper evaluates whether the cyclical pattern of fiscal policy can affect growth. We first build a simple endogenous growth model where entrepreneurs can invest either in short-run projects or in long-term growth enhancing projects. Long-term projects involve a liquidity risk which credit constrained firms try to overcome by borrowing on the basis of their short-run profits. By increasing firms' market size in recessions, a countercyclical fiscal policy will boost investment in productivity-enhancing long-term projects, and the more so in sectors that rely more on external financing or which display lower asset tangibility. Second, the paper tests this prediction using Rajan and Zingales (1998)'s diff-and-diff methodology on a panel data sample of manufacturing industries across 17 OECD countries over the period 1980-2005. The evidence confirms that the positive effects of a more countercyclical fiscal policy on value added growth, productivity growth, and R&D expenditure, are indeed larger in industries with heavier reliance on external finance or lower asset tangibility.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Fiscal Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15119
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572794
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GB/T 7714
Philippe Aghion,David Hemous,Enisse Kharroubi. Credit Constraints, Cyclical Fiscal Policy and Industry Growth. 2009.
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