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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15225
来源IDWorking Paper 15225
Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates
Craig Burnside; Alexandra Tabova
发表日期2009-08-13
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要We reconsider the empirical links between volatility and growth between 1970 and 2007. There is a strong and significant correlation between individual country growth rates and global factors that are arguably exogenous with respect to their economies. The amount of volatility driven by these external factors is highly correlated, cross-sectionally, with the overall amount of volatility in GDP growth. There is also a strong correlation between a country's average growth rate and the magnitude and sign of its exposure to global factors. We interpret our findings as a partial answer to the question "Why doesn't capital flow from rich to poor countries?" We argue that low-income countries that grow slowly are riskier from the perspective of the marginal international investor.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; International Factor Mobility ; International Macroeconomics ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15225
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572901
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Craig Burnside,Alexandra Tabova. Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates. 2009.
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