| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w15231 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 15231 |
| Understanding the Economic Consequences of Shifting Trends in Population Health | |
| Pierre-Carl Michaud; Dana Goldman; Darius Lakdawalla; Yuhui Zheng; Adam Gailey | |
| 发表日期 | 2009-08-13 |
| 出版年 | 2009 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The public economic burden of shifting trends in population health remains uncertain. Sustained increases in obesity, diabetes, and other diseases could reduce life expectancy - with a concomitant decrease in the public-sector's annuity burden - but these savings may be offset by worsening functional status, which increases health care spending, reduces labor supply, and increases public assistance. Using a microsimulation approach, we quantify the competing public-finance consequences of shifting trends in population health for medical care costs, labor supply, earnings, wealth, tax revenues, and government expenditures (including Social Security and income assistance). Together, the reduction in smoking and the rise in obesity have increased net public-sector liabilities by $430bn, or approximately 4% of the current debt burden. Larger effects are observed for specific public programs: annual spending is 10% higher in the Medicaid program, and 7% higher for Medicare. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w15231 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572907 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pierre-Carl Michaud,Dana Goldman,Darius Lakdawalla,et al. Understanding the Economic Consequences of Shifting Trends in Population Health. 2009. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w15231.pdf（174KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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