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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15312
来源IDWorking Paper 15312
News Shocks
Robert B. Barsky; Eric R. Sims
发表日期2009-09-04
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要We implement a new approach for the identification of "news shocks" about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure of aggregate technology and several forward-looking variables, we identify the news shock as the shock orthogonal to technology innovations that best explains future variation in technology. In the data, news shocks account for the bulk of low frequency variation in technology. News shocks are positively correlated with consumption, stock price, and consumer confidence innovations, and negatively correlated with inflation innovations. The disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with the implications of sensibly modified versions of a New Keynesian model.
主题Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomic Models ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15312
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/572987
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GB/T 7714
Robert B. Barsky,Eric R. Sims. News Shocks. 2009.
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