G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15474
来源IDWorking Paper 15474
The US Productivity Slowdown, the Baby Boom, and Management Quality
James Feyrer
发表日期2009-11-05
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要This paper examines whether management changes caused by the entry of the baby boom into the workforce explain the US productivity slowdown in the 1970s and resurgence in the 1990s. Lucas (1978) suggests that the quality of managers plays a significant role in determining output. If there is heterogeneity across workers and management skill improves with experience, an influx of young workers will lower the overall quality of management and lower total factor productivity. Census data shows that the entry of the baby boom resulted in more managers being hired from the smaller, pre baby boom cohorts. These marginal managers were necessarily of lower quality. As the boomers aged and gained experience, this effect was reversed, increasing managerial quality and raising total factor productivity. Using the Lucas model as a framework, a calibrated model of managers, workers, and firms suggests that the management effects of the baby boom may explain roughly 20 percent of the observed productivity slowdown and resurgence.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity ; Country Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15474
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573150
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James Feyrer. The US Productivity Slowdown, the Baby Boom, and Management Quality. 2009.
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