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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15524
来源IDWorking Paper 15524
From Great Depression to Great Credit Crisis: Similarities, Differences and Lessons
Miguel Almunia; Agustín S. Bénétrix; Barry Eichengreen; Kevin H. O'; Rourke; Gisela Rua
发表日期2009-11-19
出版年2009
语种英语
摘要The Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Credit Crisis of the 2000s had similar causes but elicited strikingly different policy responses. It may still be too early to assess the effectiveness of current policy responses, but it is possible to analyze monetary and fiscal policies in the 1930s as a "natural experiment" or "counterfactual" capable of shedding light on the impact of recent policies. We employ vector autoregressions, instrumental variables, and qualitative evidence for a panel of 27 countries in the period 1925-1939. The results suggest that monetary and fiscal stimulus was effective - that where it did not make a difference it was not tried. The results also shed light on the debate over fiscal multipliers in episodes of financial crisis. They are consistent with multipliers at the higher end of those estimated in the recent literature, consistent with the idea that the impact of fiscal stimulus will be greater when banking system are dysfunctional and monetary policy is constrained by the zero bound.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; Trade ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Financial History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15524
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573200
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GB/T 7714
Miguel Almunia,Agustín S. Bénétrix,Barry Eichengreen,et al. From Great Depression to Great Credit Crisis: Similarities, Differences and Lessons. 2009.
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