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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w15993
来源IDWorking Paper 15993
Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns
Huseyin Gulen; Yuhang Xing; Lu Zhang
发表日期2010-05-13
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要Is the value premium predictable? We study time-variations of the expected value premium using a two-state Markov switching model. We find that when conditional volatilities are high, the expected excess returns of value stocks are more sensitive to aggregate economic conditions than the expected excess returns of growth stocks. As a result, the expected value premium is time-varying: it spikes upward in the high-volatility state, only to decline more gradually in the ensuring periods. However, out-of-sample predictability of the value premium is close to nonexistent.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w15993
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573667
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GB/T 7714
Huseyin Gulen,Yuhang Xing,Lu Zhang. Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns. 2010.
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