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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16006
来源IDWorking Paper 16006
The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun
Andrei A. Levchenko; Logan T. Lewis; Linda L. Tesar
发表日期2010-05-20
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要One of the most striking aspects of the recent recession is the collapse in international trade. This paper uses disaggregated data on U.S. imports and exports to shed light on the anatomy of this collapse. We find that the recent reduction in trade relative to overall economic activity is far larger than in previous downturns. Information on quantities and prices of both domestic absorption and imports reveals a 40% shortfall in imports, relative to what would be predicted by a simple import demand relationship. In a sample of imports and exports disaggregated at the 6-digit NAICS level, we find that sectors used as intermediate inputs experienced significantly higher percentage reductions in both imports and exports. We also find support for compositional effects: sectors with larger reductions in domestic output had larger drops in trade. By contrast, we find no support for the hypothesis that trade credit played a role in the recent trade collapse.
主题International Economics ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16006
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573680
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Andrei A. Levchenko,Logan T. Lewis,Linda L. Tesar. The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun. 2010.
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