G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16067
来源IDWorking Paper 16067
Oil, Automobiles, and the U.S. Economy: How Much have Things Really Changed?
Valerie A. Ramey; Daniel J. Vine
发表日期2010-06-10
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要This paper studies the impact of oil shocks on the U.S. economy--and on the motor vehicle industry in particular--and re-examines whether the relationship has changed over time. We find remarkable stability in the response of aggregate real variables to oil shocks once we account for the extra costs imposed on the economy in the 1970s by price controls and a complex system of entitlements that led to some rationing and shortages. To investigate further why the response of real variables to oil shocks has not declined over time, we focus on the motor vehicle industry, which is considered the most important channel through which oil shocks affect the economy. We find that, contrary to common perceptions, the share of motor vehicles in total U.S. goods production has shown little decline over time. Moreover, within the motor vehicle industry, the effects of oil shocks on the mix of vehicle sold and on capacity utilization appear to have been proportional in recent decades to the effects observed in the 1970s.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16067
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573742
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Valerie A. Ramey,Daniel J. Vine. Oil, Automobiles, and the U.S. Economy: How Much have Things Really Changed?. 2010.
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