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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16136
来源IDWorking Paper 16136
GHG Targets as Insurance Against Catastrophic Climate Damages
Martin L. Weitzman
发表日期2010-06-24
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要A critical issue in climate-change economics is the specification of the so-called "damages function" and its interaction with the unknown uncertainty of catastrophic outcomes. This paper asks how much we might be misled by our economic assessment of climate change when we employ a conventional quadratic damages function and/or a thin-tailed probability distribution for extreme temperatures. The paper gives some numerical examples of the indirect value of various GHG concentration targets as insurance against catastrophic climate-change temperatures and damages. These numerical examples suggest that we might be underestimating considerably the welfare losses from uncertainty by using a quadratic damages function and/or a thin-tailed temperature distribution. In these examples, the primary reason for keeping GHG levels down is to insure against high-temperature catastrophic climate risks.
主题Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16136
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/573810
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GB/T 7714
Martin L. Weitzman. GHG Targets as Insurance Against Catastrophic Climate Damages. 2010.
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