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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16348
来源IDWorking Paper 16348
Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences: Discounted Expected Utility with a Disproportionate Preference for Certainty
James Andreoni; Charles Sprenger
发表日期2010-09-09
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility provides a simple, coherent structure for analyzing decisions in intertemporal, uncertain environments. However, we document robust violations of discounted expected utility, inconsistent with both prospect theory probability weighting and models with preferences for the resolution of uncertainty. We find that we can organize our data with surprising precision if we allow for a disproportionate preference for certainty. These results have potentially important implications for understanding dynamically inconsistent preferences.
主题Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Behavioral Economics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16348
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574023
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James Andreoni,Charles Sprenger. Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences: Discounted Expected Utility with a Disproportionate Preference for Certainty. 2010.
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