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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16412
来源IDWorking Paper 16412
Estimating the Market-Perceived Monetary Policy Rule
James D. Hamilton; Seth Pruitt; Scott Borger
发表日期2010-09-30
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要We introduce a novel method for estimating a monetary policy rule using macroeconomic news. We estimate directly the policy rule agents use to form their expectations by linking news' effects on forecasts of both economic conditions and monetary policy. Evidence between 1994 and 2007 indicates that the market-perceived Federal Reserve policy rule changed: the output response vanished, and the inflation response path became more gradual but larger in long-run magnitude. These response coefficient estimates are robust to measurement and theoretical issues with both potential output and the inflation target.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16412
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574087
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GB/T 7714
James D. Hamilton,Seth Pruitt,Scott Borger. Estimating the Market-Perceived Monetary Policy Rule. 2010.
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