| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w16440 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 16440 |
| Climate and Civil War: Is the Relationship Robust? | |
| Marshall Burke; John Dykema; David Lobell; Edward Miguel; Shanker Satyanath | |
| 发表日期 | 2010-10-06 |
| 出版年 | 2010 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A recent paper by Burke et al. (henceforth "we") finds a strong historical relationship between warmer- than-average temperatures and the incidence of civil war in Africa (Burke et al. 2009). These findings have recently been challenged by Buhaug (2010) who finds fault with how we controlled for other potential explanatory variables, how we coded civil wars, and with our choice of historical time period and climate dataset. We demonstrate that Buhaug's proposed method of controlling for confounding variables has serious econometric shortcomings and show that our original findings are robust to the use of different climate data and to alternate codings of major war. Using Buhaug's preferred climate data under sound econometric assumptions yields results that suggest an even stronger relationship between temperature and conflict for the 1981-2002 period than we originally reported. We do find that our historical relationship between temperature and conflict weakens over the last decade, a period of unprecedented African economic growth and very few large wars. |
| 主题 | History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Country Studies ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w16440 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574115 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marshall Burke,John Dykema,David Lobell,et al. Climate and Civil War: Is the Relationship Robust?. 2010. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w16440.pdf（249KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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