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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16657
来源IDWorking Paper 16657
The Propagation of Regional Recessions
James D. Hamilton; Michael T. Owyang
发表日期2011-01-06
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要This paper develops a framework for inferring common Markov-switching components in a panel data set with large cross-section and time-series dimensions. We apply the framework to studying similarities and differences across U.S. states in the timing of business cycles. We hypothesize that there exists a small number of cluster designations, with individual states in a given cluster sharing certain business cycle characteristics. We find that although oil-producing and agricultural states can sometimes experience a separate recession from the rest of the United States, for the most part, differences across states appear to be a matter of timing, with some states entering recession or recovering before others.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16657
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574332
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GB/T 7714
James D. Hamilton,Michael T. Owyang. The Propagation of Regional Recessions. 2011.
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