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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16743
来源IDWorking Paper 16743
Sale Rates and Price Movements in Art Auctions
Orley C. Ashenfelter; Kathryn Graddy
发表日期2011-01-27
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要The failure of many paintings to sell in art auctions indicates the presence of reserve prices set by sellers. This paper examines the relationship between sale rates and price surprises over time in art auctions. Using data on contemporary and impressionist art, we show that while sale rates appear to have little relationship to current prices, there exists a strong positive relationship of sale rates to unexpected aggregate price changes, which is reminiscent of a Phillips curve. As a result, sale rates provide a useful quantity indicator of the strength of the art market. The data also indicate that sale rates revert to "normal" very quickly following a price surprise. We estimate an empirical model to measure normal sale rates. We also find evidence that the reserve price is set on average at about 70% of the auctioneer's low estimate, as published in the auction catalog.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Industry Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16743
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574417
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Orley C. Ashenfelter,Kathryn Graddy. Sale Rates and Price Movements in Art Auctions. 2011.
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