| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w16865 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 16865 |
| From Natural Variation to Optimal Policy? The Lucas Critique Meets Peer Effects | |
| Scott E. Carrell; Bruce I. Sacerdote; James E. West | |
| 发表日期 | 2011-03-03 |
| 出版年 | 2011 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We take cohorts of entering freshmen at the United States Air Force Academy and assign half to peer groups with the goal of maximizing the academic performance of the lowest ability students. Our assignment algorithm uses peer effects estimates from the observational data. We find a negative and significant treatment effect for the students we intended to help. We show that within our "optimal" peer groups, students self-selected into bifurcated sub-groups with social dynamics entirely different from those in the observational data. Our results suggest that using reduced-form estimates to make out-of-sample policy predictions can lead to unanticipated outcomes. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w16865 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574539 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Scott E. Carrell,Bruce I. Sacerdote,James E. West. From Natural Variation to Optimal Policy? The Lucas Critique Meets Peer Effects. 2011. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w16865.pdf（1815KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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