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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w16875
来源IDWorking Paper 16875
Limits to Arbitrage and Hedging: Evidence from Commodity Markets
Viral V. Acharya; Lars A. Lochstoer; Tarun Ramadorai
发表日期2011-03-10
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要Motivated by the literature on limits-to-arbitrage, we build an equilibrium model of commodity markets in which speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases (decreases) in producers' hedging demand (speculators' risk-capacity) increase hedging costs via price-pressure on futures, reduce producers' inventory holdings, and thus spot prices. Consistent with our model, producers' default risk forecasts futures returns, spot prices, and inventories in oil and gas market data from 1980-2006, and the component of the commodity futures risk premium associated with producer hedging demand rises when speculative activity reduces. We conclude that limits to financial arbitrage generate limits to hedging by producers, and affect both asset and goods prices.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets ; Financial Institutions ; Corporate Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w16875
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574548
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Viral V. Acharya,Lars A. Lochstoer,Tarun Ramadorai. Limits to Arbitrage and Hedging: Evidence from Commodity Markets. 2011.
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