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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w16976 |
来源ID | Working Paper 16976 |
Stock Volatility During the Recent Financial Crisis | |
G. William Schwert | |
发表日期 | 2011-04-21 |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper uses monthly returns from 1802-2010, daily returns from 1885-2010, and intraday returns from 1982-2010 in the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied by option prices to infer what the market was expecting to happen in the months following the financial crisis in late 2008. This episode was associated with historically high levels of stock market volatility, particularly among financial sector stocks, but the market did not expect volatility to remain high for long and it did not. This is in sharp contrast to the prolonged periods of high volatility during the Great Depression. Similar analysis of stock volatility in the United Kingdom and Japan reinforces the notion that the volatility seen in the 2008 crisis was relatively short-lived. While there is a link between stock volatility and real economic activity, such as unemployment rates, it can be misleading. |
主题 | Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w16976 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574650 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | G. William Schwert. Stock Volatility During the Recent Financial Crisis. 2011. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w16976.pdf(409KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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