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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w17024
来源IDWorking Paper 17024
Historical Evidence on the Finance-Trade-Growth Nexus
Michael D. Bordo; Peter L. Rousseau
发表日期2011-05-05
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要We study linkages between financial development, international trade, and long-run growth using data since 1880 for seventeen now-developed "Atlantic" economies and a set of cross-country and dynamic panel data models. We find that finance and trade reinforced each other before 1930, but that these effects did not persist after the Second World War. Financial development has positive effects on growth throughout the sample period, while trade affects growth strongly and independently after 1945. We attribute the rising importance of trade in explaining growth to major post-World War II changes in tariffs and quantity restrictions associated with the GATT, the establishment of the European Common Market, and the gradual elimination of capital controls after 1973. The findings are robust to the use of 'deep' fundamentals such as legal origin and indicators of the political environment as instruments for financial development and trade. Financial development, however, is more closely linked to these fundamentals than trade.
主题Macroeconomics ; Money and Interest Rates ; International Economics ; Trade ; History ; Macroeconomic History ; Financial History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w17024
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574698
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GB/T 7714
Michael D. Bordo,Peter L. Rousseau. Historical Evidence on the Finance-Trade-Growth Nexus. 2011.
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