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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w17245 |
来源ID | Working Paper 17245 |
Chemical Fertilizer and Migration in China | |
Avraham Ebenstein; Jian Zhang; Margaret S. McMillan; Kevin Chen | |
发表日期 | 2011-07-22 |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper examines a possible connection between China's massive rural to urban migration and high chemical fertilizer use rates during the late 1980s and 1990s. Using panel data on villages in rural China (1987-2002), we find that labor out-migration and fertilizer use per hectare are positively correlated. Using 2SLS, employing the opening of a Special Economic Zone in a nearby city as an instrument, we find that village fertilizer use is linked to contemporaneous short-term out-migration of farm workers. We also examine the long-term environmental consequences of chemical fertilizer use during this period. Using OLS, we find that fertilizer use intensity is correlated with future fertilizer use rates and diminished effectiveness of fertilizer, demonstrating persistency in use patterns, and suggesting that in areas with high use of fertilizer, the land is becoming less responsive. We also demonstrate that fertilizer use within a river basin is correlated with organic forms of water pollution, suggesting that industrialization has induced pollution in China both directly and through its impact on rural labor supply. |
主题 | Development and Growth ; Development |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17245 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/574920 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Avraham Ebenstein,Jian Zhang,Margaret S. McMillan,et al. Chemical Fertilizer and Migration in China. 2011. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w17245.pdf(308KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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